Archive for the Results Category

UFC 100 (07/11/09) Results

Posted in Results with tags , , , , , , , , , , on July 14, 2009 by Maxwell Destree

My pick Results for UFC 100: 7/11 (64%)

My Money Picks for UFC 100: 0/1

Favorites Record (by internet odds): 7/1 (there were 3 fights I didnt catch the odds to)

 

My Picks Totals (since UFC 97): 31/45 (69%)

My Money Picks Total (since UFC 97): 9/13 (69%)

Favorites Record Since UFC 97: 29/43 (67%)

 

Brock Lesnar beat Frank Mir for the UFC Undisputed Heavyweight Title

Brock Lesnar beat Frank Mir for the UFC Undisputed Heavyweight Title

Lesnar wins by technical knockout at 01:58 in Round 2

Lesnar: BU-240 (71%), SB-215 (68%)    (07/06/09)

                 PO+130 (43%)

Mir: BU+190 (34%), SB+175 (36%)     (07/06/09)

          PO-150 (60%)

  Ok, I admit I over-estimated Mir.  I don’t think I really underestimated Lesnar though.  I knew that Lesnar has the ability to smash pretty much anyone.  But, I did think Mir was going to be able to neutralize Lesnars size and brute force with technique and MMA know-how.  I was wrong.

When Lesnar was laying on top of Mir in the first round with Mir in a half head lock smashing Mir’s face I thought, this isn’t good.  When the round ended and half of Mirs face was already smashed up, and Mir could do absolutely nothing with the huge mass of meat that is Lesnar, I knew then that Lesnar was going to finish the fight in the second round.

Lesnar proved that he is the undisputed Heavyweight champ, and that anyone that gets trapped under his insanely huge body mass is as good as dead.  I would really like to see Lesnar against the winner of Carwin or Velasques, but I can say one thing it will be a while before I go against Lesnar.

 

Georges St.Pierre beats Thiago Alves by Unanimous Decision

Georges St.Pierre beats Thiago Alves by Unanimous Decision

St.Pierre wins by unanimous decision after 5 Rounds. 

Judges scores: 45-50, 44-50, 45-50

St.Pierre: BU-300 (75%), SB-285 (74%)     (07/06/09)

                     PO-300 (75%)

Alves: BU+220 (31%), SB+225 (31%)     (07/06/09)

              PO+220 (31%)

St.Pierre is in the process of building his legacy as possible the best Welterweight champ ever.  St.Pierre has two wins over Matt Hughes who probably still in some eyes is the best Welterweight champ ever.  But, it’s now impossible to ignore the level of competition that St.Pierre has beaten, and the relative ease that he has done it with.

Alves seemed to be a very game opponent.  He’s big, made weight, and seemed to be well conditioned even in the later rounds against St.Pierre.  And yet, St.Pierre pretty much walked right through Alves.  The fight was extremely one-sided.  Pierre is simply at a level never seen before in the Welterweight division, and probably all of MMA.

I get excited at the possibility of a St.Pierre/Silva fight.  But, a lot needs to happen before that would become a reality.  Silva undoubtedly needs to beat Forrest Griffin (Silvas next opponent).  Also, St.Pierre needs to recover from a groin injury suffered during the Alves fight.  But, if the UFC can get the match made and done right, then it would probably be the best matchup in the history of MMA.  At least in the regards that the two pound for pound best fighters in MMA history would be fighting one another, for the title of best MMA fighter ever!  How cool would that be?

Lastly, I have to mention I got this one right, St.Pierre did win by unanimous decision just like I thought he would.

 

John Fitch     vs     Paulo Thiago

Fitch wins by unanimous decision after 3 Rounds

Fitch: BU-450 (82%), SB-365 (78%)     (07/06/09)

             PO-350 (78%)

Thiago: BU+325 (24%), SB+285 (26%)          (07/06/09)

                 PO+310 (24%)

 Well, Fitch took this one by purely out grappling Thiago.  Ultimately it was really impressive to see how good Fitch’s jiu-jitsu is.  Fitch handled Thiago (a specialist on the mat) with composure and confidence.  Although Fitch did not submit Thiago it was still a quality performance.  Fitch wouldn’t knock Thiago out as I though he might, but he did win as I figured he would.

 

Dan “Hendo” Henderson     vs     Michael “The Count” Bisping

Henderson wins by knockout at 03:20 in Round 2

Henderson: BU-225 (69%), SB-225 (69%)      (07/06/09)   

                        PO+165 (38%)

Bisping: BU+175 (36%), SB+185 (35%)     (07/06/09)

                 PO-185 (65%)

  I have to admit despite picking Bisping to win, I’m not really dissappointed with Henderson knocking Bisping out.  I don’t really care for Bispings personality. 

 I think that if Bisping was able to avoid the big shot he would have won the fight based on points.  I also think that my odds may still have been pretty reasonable.  How many times does Henderson catch Bisping if they fought a lot.  I think Bisping would avoid the big shot more often than getting hit with it.  It just so happens that this time he got caught with it, and I mean he took the full fist straight on the chin.

Henderson did show me one thing though, he still has plenty of power in those hands. 

 

Yoshihiro Akiyama     vs     Alan “The Talent” Belcher

Akiyama wins by split decision after 3 Rounds

Akiyama: BU-300 (75%), SB-340 (77%)     (07/06/09)

                      PO-150 (60%)

Belcher: BU+220 (31%), SB+260 (28%)     (07/06/09)

                  PO+150 (40%)

 This was a very entertaining fight, and it would actually be awarded fight of the night honors.  The fight was a back and forth battle, with Akiyama taking the split decision.  The fight statistics show however that Akiyama did out strike, and out wrestle Belcher. 

I think that Belcher definately won some fans with his performance, and despite the loss I don’t forsee the UFC cutting him.  Belcher showed that he is still improving as a fighter. 

I thought there was a possibility that  Akiyama would submit Belcher, but really I thought Akiyama would get the decision.  I also had mentioned that it could be a split decision, but I figured on a unanimous one.  I wasn’t too far off.

 

Mark “The Hammer” Coleman   vs   Stephan ” American Psycho” Bonnar

Coleman wins by unanimous decision after 3 Rounds

Coleman: BU+250 (29%), SB+250 (29%)     (07/06/09)

                     PO+560 (18%)

Bonnar: BU-350 (78%), SB-325 (76%)     (07/06/09)

                  PO-550 (85%)

 The old man did it.  Coleman definately proved me wrong.  I thought he would never win another fight in the UFC again.  I truly thought that the talent level of the UFC had passed the aging Coleman by.  I would like to think that Bonnar was out of shape, or took Coleman too lightly.  But, Bonnar didn’t appear to be out of shape at the weigh-ins, and I don’t think Bonnar is the type of guy to take anyone too lightly.

All and all it was a good win for Coleman, and once again I’m not too disappointed with getting this one wrong.  It was kind of a nice surprise to see he could still hang with the young guys.  Congrats Coleman.

 

Jon “Bones” Jones     vs     Jake “Irish” O’Brien

Jones wins by submission (guillotine) at 02:43 in Round 2

Jones: BU-450 (82%), SB-500 (83%)     (07/06/09)

              PO-410 (80%)

O’Brien: BU+325 (24%), SB+300 (25%)     (07/06/09)

                PO+325 (24%)

 Jones did what everyone thought he was going to do, win.  Jones just keeps moving up the board, its exciting to think of where this kids potential will end.  This win doesn’t surprise anyone I don’t think, but it does give Jones more experience and more confidence.  I can’t help but feel that the UFC is grooming this kid.  I would really like to see him fight on regular tv for free, get this kid some exposure.  Jones didn’t deliver the first round knockout like I predicted though.

 

Dong “Stun Gun” Hyun Kim     vs     TJ Grant

Kim wins by unanimous decision after 3 Rounds

Hyun Kim: BU, SB

                       PO-300 (75%)

Grant: BU, SB

              PO+220 (31%)

  Well, I thought Kim would be able to finish Grant off in the first round.  Instead Kim would leave with a decision victory.

 

Mac Danzig     vs     Jim Miller

Miller wins by unanimous decision after 3 Rounds

Danzig: BU+160 (38%), SB+160 (38%)     (07/06/09)

               PO+160 (38%)

Miller: BU-200 (67%), SB-200 (67%)     (07/06/09)

               PO-200 (67%)

 I did not see this fight, but I heard it was pretty good.  Danzig got bloodied up, but kept fighting hard.  I read that it was a pretty good grappling match.  I think that Miller was too strong and athletic for Danzig.  Danzig is not a bad fighter, in fact he is a very technical fighter.  I think Danzig just lacks the quickness and talent to be really successful at this level.

I hit the nail on the head with this prediction.  I predicted Miller would win by unanimous decision, and that there would be some impressive grappling.  I was right on both counts.

 

CB “The Doberman” Dollaway     vs     Tom “Filthy” Lawlor

Lawlor wins by submission (guillotine) at 0:55 in Round 1

Dolloway: BU, SB

                     PO-120 (55%)

Lawlor: BU, SB

                PO+110 (48%)

 I guess by the way it sounds, Dolloway went in for a takedown and Lawlor locked in a guillotine right away.  That was pretty much the whole fight. 

I knew that Lawlor had a good chance of winning as evidenced by my winning percentage I gave him.  Lawlor is a very good fighter, probably better than people give him credit for.  Dolloway is also a very good fighter, but he also seems to be one of those guys that will never reach his full potential.  He just can’t seem to put it all together.

I would like to see Lawlor fight again, perhaps in a main event, or co-main event on a fight night.  I think Lawlor is still getting better as a fighter, and I think he could be right around the top of the division some day.

 

Matt “The Real One” Grice     vs     Sannon Gugerty

Gugerty wins by submission (guillotine) at 02:36 in Round 1

Grice: BU, SB

              PO+160 (38%)

Gugerty: BU, SB

                 PO-180 (64%)

I predicted a second round submission win for Gugerty, but he decided to just finish it in the first round.  Assuming Grice doesn’t have any more fights on his contract, I don’t anticipate seeing any more of Grice in the UFC.  Gugerty was able to get a much needed victory, and we will see him again.

UFC 99 – The Comeback (6/13/09) (Results)

Posted in Results with tags on July 5, 2009 by Maxwell Destree

My pick Results for UFC 99: 8/11 (I didn’t officially pick one of the fights)

My Money Picks for UFC 99: 2/3

Favorites Record (by internet odds): 11/12

 

My Picks Totals: 24/34 (71%)

My Money Picks Total: 9/12 (75%)

Favorites Record Since UFC 97: 22/35 (63%)

 

Note: The odds listed are from www.betus.com (BU) and www.sportsbook.com (SB), and my own personal opinion of what they should be (PO)(I am just trying this out, don’t be surprised if they’re way off to start with).  Also, I will break down the line into percentages for everyone.  The percentage tells how often they would win the fight.  P.S. I know the percentages don’t always add to 100, that’s because thats the sportsbooks take, it’s just the way they do it.

I know this is really late, but I wanted to update my pick results.  It’ll be short, sorry about the break.

 

Rich Franklin^$                                Wanderlei Silva

Rich Franklin     vs     Wanderlei Silva 2

Franklin: BU-155 (61%), SB-145 (59%)     (06/04/09)

                     PO-225(69%)

Silva: BU+115 (47%), SB+115 (47%)     (06/04/09)

              PO+205 (33%)

 Franklin won by decision in what was a much closer fight than I thought it would be.

 

Cain Velasquez     vs     Cheick Kongo^

Velasquez: SB-200 (67%)     (06/04/09)

                         PO-110 (52%)

Kongo: SB+160 (38%)     (06/04/09)

                 PO-110 (52%)

Velasquez wins by decision.  Velasquez was rocked pretty good a couple of times but took Kongo down with ease, and controlled him on the mat in a very dominant fashion.  I thought Kongo would be able to fight the takedown a little bit better, but quite frankly his take down defense was atrocious.

 

Mike Swick^$     vs     Ben Saunders

Swick: BU-225 (69%), SB-210 (68%)     (06/04/09)

               PO-300 (75%)

Saunders: BU+175 (36%), SB+170 (37%)     (06/04/09)

                      PO+280 (28%)

Mike “Quick” Swick won this one quickly by knocking Saunders out in the first round.

                    

 Marcus Davis^$     vs     Dan Hardy

Davis: BU-225 (69%), SB-210 (68%)     (06/04/09)

               PO-320 (76%)

Hardy: BU+175 (36%), SB+170 (37%)     (06/04/09)

                PO+295 (25%)

Hardy won this because of a rarely used tactic, psychological warfare.  Hardy unleashed powerful crisp shots at the exact time necessary to keep the fight under his influence.  Hardy won by split-decision.

 

Spencer Fisher*     vs     Caol Uno

Fisher: BU-225 (69%), SB-210 (68%)     (06/04/09)

               PO-150 (60%)

Uno: BU+175 (36%), SB+170 (37%)    (06/04/09)

           PO+130 (43%)

 Fisher wins by decision.  Fisher was able to keep the fight standing and controlled the standup.

 

Terry Etim*     vs     Justin Buchholz

Etim: BU-350 (78%), SB-500 (83%)     (06/04/09)

            PO-215 (68%)

Bucholz: BU+225 (31%), SB+300 (25%)      (06/04/09)

                   PO+190 (34%)

Etim won by submission in the second round.

 

Dennis Siver*     vs     Dale Hartt

Siver: BU-200 (67%), SB-200 (67%)     (06/04/09)

             PO-170 (63%)

Hartt: BU+150 (40%), SB+160 (38%)     (06/04/09)

              PO+160 (38)

 Siver won by submission in the first round.

 

Paul Taylor*     vs     Peter Sobotta

Taylor: BU-500 (83%), SB-500 (83%)     (06/04/09)

                 PO-210 (68%)

Sobotta: BU+300 (25%), SB+300 (25%)     (06/04/09)

                   PO+220 (32%)

 Paul Taylor won by decision after three rounds.

 

Paul Kelly*     vs     Rolando Delgado

Kelly: BU-550 (85%), SB-500 (83%)    (06/04/09)

             PO

Delgado: BU+325 (24%), SB+300 (25%)     (06/04/09)

                   PO

Paul Kelly by decision after three rounds.

 

 Denis Stojnic*     vs     Stefan Struve

Stojnic: BU-110 (52%), SB-Even     (06/04/09)

                 PO-160 (62%)

Struve: BU-130 (57%), SB-130 (57%)     (06/04/09)

                PO+130 (43%)

Struve won by submission in the second round.

 

Mustapha Al Turk     vs     Mirko Cro Cop*

Al Turk: BU+275 (27%), SB+350 (22%)     (06/04/09)

                  PO+300 (25%)

Cro Cop: BU-450 (82%), SB-550 (85%)     (06/04/09)

                   PO-430 (81%)

Mirko Cro Cop by knockout in the first round due to poke in the eye.

 

John Hathaway*     vs     Rick Story

Hathaway: SB-150 (60%)     (06/04/09)

                         PO-120 (56%)

Story: SB+120 (45%)     (06/04/09)

              PO+120 (45%)

Hathaway by decision after three rounds.

WEC 41 Brown vs Faber 2 (Results)

Posted in Results with tags , , , , , on June 8, 2009 by Maxwell Destree

Well Brown vs Faber 2 is in the books, and with a little help from the injury bug, Brown manages to beat Faber for the second time in as many fights.  WEC 41 delivered on all aspects the fight game; there were fantastic knockouts, 3 and 5 round battles and very technical mat battles that lead to impressive submissions.  I would definitely be willing to dish out pay-per view money if the WEC can consistently provide this type of quality.

 

Mike Brown^                               Urijah “California Kid” Faber

Mike Brown 2    vs    Urijah Faber 2  

Brown: BU-105 (51%), SB+120 (45%)     (06/04/09)

Faber: BU-135 ( 57%), SB-150 (60%)     (06/04/09)

Brown wins by unanimous decision after 5 rounds.  Judges scores: 49-46, 49-46, 48-47

Brown defended his title against a very determined and tough Urijah Faber on Sunday June 7.  The fight would start out with a bang and make its way to a decision after five hard fought rounds by both fighters.

Urijah came out in round one guns a blazin.  Urijah connected on a good straight left midway through round one that opened a cut under Browns left eye.  Unfortunately that would end the right hands delivered by Urijah for the rest of the fight.  Urijah broke his right hand midway into the first round and never used it again.  Instead Urijah had to resort to trying to connect with long reaching right elbows.

Later in the fight Urijah also injured his left hand, but I’m not exactly sure when or which round.  Urijah toughed out the rest of the fight by throwing elbows and kicks.  Because of the damage to his hands Urijah was unable to get or sustain any takedown, as well as submission attempts.

Brown on the other hand seemed to have a pretty conservative gameplan, he would slowly creep in, throw a couple lefts and unleash his right hand, and then lock up and clinch fight.  Brown was able to take Urijah down in several different rounds, and was able to control Urijah on the ground pretty well.  Brown neutralized most of Urijahs scrambles, and he even avoided a couple submission attempts by Urijah by creating his own scrambles.

Ultimately this was a very fun, and energetic fight.  I am really, really, really glad that the WEC put this on national television on VS.  Theres nothing better than seeing a title fight thats as good as any title fight you’ll see in the UFC on tv for free.  Way to go Brown!  I can only hope that these two fighters will keep on winning and maybe create a third rematch.  Hand injury or no hand injury the two styles these fighters have make for a great fight that I could watch over and over again.

 

Jose “Junior” Aldo     vs     Cub Swanson

Aldo: SB-360 (78%)     (06/04/09)

Swanson: SB+280 (26%)     (06/04/09)

Aldo wins by knockout via flying double knee in round one!  Everyone youtube this highlight!

Aldo was able to come out after the bell and immediately deliver the knockout of the night and perhaps the year!  Unfortunately for Cub there always has to be the “victim” and tonight Cub was the victim of a flying double knee.  Yeah, that’s right a double knee.  Aldo managed to connect on Cubs face with both knees while in the air.  Amazing!  Take a second to check it out on youtube, it will literally take seconds because the knockout happens 8 seconds into the fight. 

 

Donald “Cowboy” Cerrone     vs     James Krause

Cerrone: SB-650 (87%)     (06/04/09)

Krause: SB+450 (22%)     (06/04/09)

Cerrone wins by tapout due to a rear-naked choke in round one.

Cerrone and Krause provided us with a very good technical up and down fight.  The fight ultimately ended on the mat with Krause tapping, but prior to that Krause was a very game fighter. 

 

Josh “The Fluke” Grispi^     vs     Jens “Lil’ Evil” Pulver

Grispi: SB-150 (60%)     (06/04/09)

Pulver: SB+120 (45%)      (06/04/09)

 Grispi wins  by tapout due to a guillotine in round one.

Ok here it here first, Pulver said he’s done fighting.  Pulver got caught in the first exchange between the two fighters and Grispi capitalized.  Grispi moved in and Pulver went for a desperate takedown, but left his head hanging out in the open and Grispi was able to clamp on and submit the exciting ex-UFC veteran.  After the fight Pulver was clearly very emotional, and still very gracious to everyone for his opportunities in fighting.  Pulver came into MMA as an unknown and he’s leaving as future hall of famer who is truly a class act.

 

Manny “The Anvil” Gamburyan^     vs     John Franchi

Gamburyan: SB-240 (71%)     (06/04/09)

Franchi: SB+190 (34%)     (06/04/09)

 Gamburyan wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds.  All judges scored the fight 30-27.

The Gamburyan-Franchi fight was not televised, for punch-by-punch details checkout Sherdog.com.  Otherwise basically Sherdog says that the fight was boring, and Gamburyan was booed after the fight because of its lack of excitement.

 

Rafael Rebello     vs     Kyle Dietz

Rebello: SB-115 (53%)     (06/04/09)

Dietz: SB-115 (53%)    (06/04/09)

Rebello wins by tapout due to a rear-naked choke in round one.

Check out Sherdog.com for more details about this fight.

 

Mike “The Beast” Campbell     vs     Anthony “Showtime” Pettis

Campbell: SB-340 (77%)     (06/04/09)

Pettis: SB+260 (28%)     (06/04/09)

 Pettis wins by tapout due to triangle choke in round one.

This was a quick but impressive victory for Pettis.  He jumped up onto Campbell while going for a guillotine, and Campbell slammed Pettis into the mat.  Pettis however never lost his composure and went for a couple of different submissions before locking in the triangle that won him the fight. 

 

Scott “Young Guns” Jorgensen     vs     Antonio Banuelos

Jorgensen: SB-145 (59%)     (06/04/09)

Banuelos: SB+115 (47%)     (06/04/09)

 Banuelos wins by split decision after three rounds. Judges scores: 29-28, 28-29, 29-28 for Banuelos.

The judges got this fight right in my opinion, yet if there would have been a fourth round I think that Jorgensen would have won.  Banuelos came out like a little fire plug in round one.  Banuelos was throwing very good combinations and mixing up his strikes and location.  Banuelos caught Jorgensen early in round one and kept the pressure on winning round one convincingly.

Round two was a little tougher to score, but Banuelos still had some speed and movement, and still managed to take Jorgensen down in the second round.  I too would have awarded round two to Banuelos although it was much closer than round one.

In round three however, Jorgensen looked to have found his range with his jab, and looked to be the fresher fighter.  Banuelo was noticeably slower, and was no longer throwing long combinations and kicks.  Jorgensen caught Banuelo and gave him a nasty cut toward the end of the round.  Jorgensen won round three convincingly.  Unfortunately it was too little too late.  No doubt Jorgensen would have had the momentum if the fight had gone onto another round, but both fighters knew it was only three rounds and the right man won on the scorecards.

I would really like to see Jorgensen get a chance to avenge this loss.  Jorgensen clearly seemed to be the more athletic fighter, its just that he got caught early and it took him too long to recover.  Either way thats fighting.

 

Frank Gomez     vs     Noah Thomas

Gomez: SB -160 (62%)     (06/04/09)

Thomas: SB+130 (43%)     (06/04/09)

Gomez wins by tapout due to an arm triangle choke in the second round.

 Check out Sherdog.com for details.

 

Rolando Perez     vs     Seth “2-Quick” Dikun

Perez: SB -115 (53%)     (06/04/09)

Dikun: SB-115 (53%)     (06/04/09)

Dikun wins by tapout due to a triangle choke in the first round.

Dikun almost provided us with a submission of the night highlight reel for the ages, yet he’ll just have to settle for the win instead.  Early in the fight Dikun went for what I can only describe as a flying triangle.  Dikun practically Lock a triangle in on Perez while he was still standing but the would be highlight was quickly negated.  Perez fell to the mat into Dikuns guard who with a couple of elbows and a shift of his weight was able to lock in the triangle.  So, it took a little longer for the submission and it didn’t quite happen in the air, but Dikun was still able to secure the triangle and take home the W.

 

Note: for anyone looking for more commentary on any fight I highly recommend checking out www.sherdog.comits an excellent MMA resource.  Also the results and judges scores are taken from the sherdog website.

My Prediction Results: 3/3 for 100%

UFC 98 Results

Posted in Results with tags , , , , , , , , , , on May 24, 2009 by Maxwell Destree

We Have A New Champ! Hughes Survives Head-butt and Controversy and Upsets Mark UFC 98.

 

First, I would like to say to all of my readers, I actually had on OK night for predictions.  But, the prediction I blew was the Machida/Evans fight.  I really thought that Evans had the style to beat Machida.  Don’t worry though, I have no false reservations about my picks or the results, and I am ready to eat a big huge serving of CROW served up by Machida himself.

Lyoto Machida celebrates after becoming the Light Heavyweight Campion in the UFC

Lyoto Machida celebrates after becoming the Light Heavyweight Campion in the UFC

Rashad Evans     vs     Lyoto Machida

Rashad: BU+175 (36%), SB+165 (38%)  (5/13/09)

                   BU+150 (40%), SB+160 (38%)  (5/21/09)

Machida: BU-225 (69%), SB-205 (67%)  (5/13/09)

                     BU-200 (66%), SB-200 (66%)  (5/21/09)

Machida wins by knockout in the second round.

Machida was the favorite for this fight and with good reason.  Machida came out, waited patiently for a while for the Champ to engage, and then decided to formulate a little offense of his own.  Machida had a couple of very nice kicks in the first round and continued his record of never losing a round in the UFC by winning the first round.

Machida came out the second round and waited like a time bomb for the right opportunity to take Evans out.  Evans was taken down by Machida at one point but stood right back up.  Evans really only landed one nice body kick the whole fight.  About three minutes into the second round Machida put on a flurry and caught Evans with several clean blows to the jaw, but ultimately connected with a short left cross to put the Champ to sleep.

I had stated that Machida would not be able to knock Evans out, I was wrong, one serving of crow from Mr. Machida.  Oh, thank you Mr. Machida can I have some more?  I also said that Evans was going to be fast enough and athletic enough to catch Machida but, I was wrong.  Oh why Mr. Machida some more crow?  Thank you, you shouldn’t have Mr. Machida.  I also picked Evans to beat Machida by knockout, but I was wrong.  Oh, a third serving of crow? Why thank you Mr. Machida, oh, look its the biggest serving yet.

Ok, basically I expected Evans to come out and try and take Machida down at least once or twice before standing with Machida.  I thought Evans would want to keep Machida guessing as to what to defend: strikes or takedown.  Unfortunately, Evans didn’t attempt a single takedown.  I also anticipated a lot of level changing and long combinations from Evans to try and close the gap on Machida and get in close.  Evans decided that his bast chance of winning was to stay on the outside and wait for Machida to come in. 

I am not claiming to be a wiz kid when it comes to MMA or fighting, and I am certainly not any more knowledgeable than Greg Jackson (Evans trainer) when it comes to creating a gameplan, but I just felt like with the athleticism and wrestling background that Evans has, he had a real opportunity to take it to Machida.  To Machida’s credit, he has made it very difficult to figure out his style.  One can’t plot slowly in, looking for the big knockout like Thiago Silva did.  But, one can’t stay back and try and keep distance on Machida either.  Machida is too accurate of a striker and distance is Machidas advantage.

I overestimated Evans ability to close the gap on Machida, and I underestimated Machidas power and elusiveness.  I give all the credit to Machida, he fought a superb fight and won in a very convincing fashion.  I anticipate Machida holding onto this belt for some time to come.  Oh, OK, one more serving of crow for me just for good measure.

  

Matt Hughes     vs     Matt Serra

Hughes: BU-275 (73%), SB-290 (74%)  (5/13/09)

                   BU-275 (73%), SB-275 (73%)  (5/21/09)

Serra: BU+190(34%)  SB+230 (30%)  (5/13/09)

              BU+190 (34%) SB+215 (31%)  (5/21/09)

Hughes wins by unanimous decision after three rounds.

Well, I got this one right, despite near upset loss in the first round from a headbutt.  Serra and Hughes accidentally knocked heads in the very beginning of the first round, causing Hughes to basically get knocked out while standing, fortunately Serra couldn’t finish him.  Serra won the first round with pressure and strikes.

Hughes won the second and third round with superior wrestling and takedowns.  It was definitely a close fight, and the judges easily could have had a split decision.  In the end though it was a unanimous decision victory for Hughes.

 Just a quick note on Hughes.  Hughes to me looked a little slow and apprehensive on his feet.  I hope Hughes doesn’t fight anymore because I know he will fight a ranked competitor, and I think he will lose.  Hughes’ skills just aren’t well rounded enough to hang with the top of the division anymore.

Drew McFedries     vs     Xavier Foupa-Pokam

McFedries: SB+160 (38%)  (5/21/09)

Foupa-Pokam: SB-200 (66%)  (5/21/09)

McFedries wins by knockout in the first round.

Well, I kinda went back and forth with this fight, like I did for most of the fights on this card.  However, when I thought about it, it sounded like Foupa-Pokam wanted to stand with McFedries and that is never a good gameplan.  McFedries proved his power by blasting Foupa-Pokam several times before the ref stepped in to stop it.

 

Brock Larson     vs     Mike Pyle

Larson: SB-290 (74%)  (5/21/09)

Pyle:

Larson wins by submission in the first round.

Man o’ man, Pyle really brought it.  Pyle went for several very nice, and very close submission attempts of his own right away in the first round.  The two fighters had a very quick and smart grappling match on the mat before Larson was able to come away with the submission victory.

 

Dan Miller    vs     Chael Sonnen

Sonnen: SB+125 (44%)  (5/21/09)

Miller: SB-155 (61%)  (5/21/09)

Sonnen wins by unanimous decision after three rounds.

Well, I have a little more crow on my plate after this one.  I knew Sonnen was the better wrestler, but I thought Miller would be able to keep the fight standing where he is better on his feet.  Sonnen was able to take Miller down with relative ease, and proceeded to ground and pound Miller for three rounds.  I was surprised that Miller wasn’t more effective from his guard. 

I’m really not too disappointed with this pick, it was a fight to see where Miller ranks in the UFC, Sonnen was a good test and Miller just wasn’t up to the challenge. 

 

Sean Sherk     vs     Frank Edgar

Sherk: BU-275 (73%) SB-295 (74%)  (5/13/09)

               BU-300 (75%) SB-365 (78%)  (5/21/09)

Edgar: BU+190 (34%) SB+235(30%)  (5/13/09)

                BU+200 (33%) SB+285 (26%)  (5/21/09)

Edgar wins by unanimous decision after three rounds.

Edgar had the better boxing skills  for this fight.  Edgar moved around well, and had real crisp strikes.  I knew Edgar could win this fight if it stayed standing, the only problem was I thought Sherk would at least go for a couple of takedowns, and score some points on the judges scorecard.  This fight is a frustrating loss, because Sherk has the ability to win the fight consistently by simply taking Edgar down (which he would be able to do) and ground and pounding him.  However, Sherk chose to stand and lose two straight rounds before trying something else.  My fear was realized, Sherk was more concerned about winning by knockout/strikes than he was about just winning.

Nonetheless, I thought it could have been a split decision, and with the odds where they were, it really was hard not to throw some money down on Edgar.  Another fight that was tough to predict.

 

Pat Barry     vs     Tim Hague

Barry: BU-350 (77%) (5/13/09)

               BU-330 (77%) SB-500 (83%)  (5/21/09)

Hague: BU+225 (31%)  (5/13/09)

                 BU+220 (31%) SB+300 (25%)  (5/21/09)

Hague wins by submission in the first round.

Well, if anyone read my predictions, they would know that I really didn’t want to chose this one.  I just had a hard time seeing why Barry was such a favorite. Although he was very close to knocking out Hague in the beginning of the first round.  But, Hague kept his wits about him, took Barry down and submitted him.

Another lose on my record, but yet another one that I can live with.

 

Phillipe Nover     vs     Kyle Bradley

Nover: BU-400 (80%) SB-365 (78%)  (5/13/09)

                BU-330 (77%) SB-500 (83%)  (5/21/09)

Bradley: BU+250 (29%) SB+285 (26%)  (5/13/09)

                   BU+220 (31%) SB+300 (25%)  (5/21/09)

Bradley wins by referee stoppage in the first round.

I didn’t see this fight, but apparently referee Yves Lavigne had a very, very poor stoppage of the fight.  He stopped the fight but Nover was never hurt.  Which makes it worse for Lavigne is that apparently replay shows that it was indeed a very poor stoppage.

Another loss for me, but it sounds like it wasn’t a very legit fight, so once again this one doesn’t bother me. (Other than poor refereeing).

 

Krzysztof Soszynski   vs     Andre Gusmao

Soszynski: SB+125 (44%)  (5/21/09)

Gusmao: SB-155 (61%)  (5/21/09)

Soszynski wins by knockout in the first round.

Gusmao came out strong, and really looked to be the better fighter for the first part of the fight.  However, Soszynski caught Gusmao right on the chin with a real short and crisp right hand.  Once again, Gusmao is a good fighter, and better than what he has shown in his first two fights in the UFC.  Soszynski is hot right now, he has confidence, looks healhty, has a well rounded fight game, I would hate to be Soszynskis next opponent.

Back in the win column for me.

  

Dave Kaplan     vs     George Roop

Kaplan: BU+110 (48%)  (5/13/09)

                 BU+110 (48%) SB+135 (43%)  (5/21/09)

Roop: BU-150 (60%)  (5/13/09)

              BU-150 (60%) SB-165 (62%)  (5/21/09)

Roop wins by split decision after three rounds.

Well, I really thought that Roop would have had an easier time with Kaplan.  Roop still got the win, but I have to give Kaplan a lot of credit, he fought hard and showed some real heart.

Roop got me a win here, barely, but I will take it.

 

My prediction results and data for UFC 98:

 My Record: 6/11                                                

Money Picks: 3/4

Favorites Record: 4/11 (amazing, there were a lot of upsets for this one)

I picked the favorite to win 7/11

 

Running Totals Updated

My Record: 16/23  70%

Money Picks:  7/9 78%

Favorites Record (since UFC 97): 11/23  48%

UFC 97 Redemption (Results)

Posted in Results on May 1, 2009 by Maxwell Destree

My Record: 10/12 for an 83% winning percentage.

Money Picks: 4/5 for an 80% winning percentage.

Winner: Anderson Silva (-600)^ $     vs     Thales Leites(+350)

Well, Anderson Silva won…If you can call it that.  I mean he didn’t lose.  But it was probably the worst fight I have ever witnessed, ever.  Including one punch knockouts and schoolyard fights on youtube.  This fight SUCKED!.  I wasted my money on it.  But, Silva won by standing in the ring while Leites layed on his back just waiting for Silva to just fall into a submission.  Worst UFC fight ever.

 

Chuck Liddell (-200)*     vs    Winner: Mauricio Rua (+150)

Rua wins by knockout.  The star that was Liddell has passed through the sky and is no longer in our cosmos.  Liddell was a true champion, and will be missed.  Liddell, please don’t hang on too long.  Maybe sign with Affliction and knock Tito Ortiz out again, to  show he wasn’t worth a quarter of the contract he got.  Farewell Liddell.  

 

Winner: Krzystof Soszynski (-165)*    vs     Brian Stann (+125)

Sosyzynski won by submission.  Sosyzynski is for real, only getting better with each fight.  Chalk one up for the “polish experiment”. 

 

Winner: Cheick Kongo (-300)*$     vs     Antoni Hardonk (+200)

Kongo won by brutilization.  Hardonk looked as though he wanted nothing to do with Kongo after he was taken down and suffered some nasty ground and pound. 

 

Steve Cantwell (+190)    vs    Winner: Luiz Cane (-275)*

One of the better fights for the pay-per viewer.  Cantwell brought a good fight, but it just wasn’t enough.  Cane wins by decision, and he earned it.  Cantwell looked to have a broken nose, but gutted out a good performance despite the loss.  Cantwell will be a force to be reckoned with in the future, just have patience. 

 

Winner: Eliot Marshall ^$    vs     Vinicius Magalhaes

Well, Marshall won by decision in the third round.  I didn’t actually get to see the fight, but my guess is that Marshall brought the fight to Magalhaes.

 

Winner: Denis Kang (-350) *    vs     Xavier Foupa-Pokam (+225)

Kang wins by decision in the third.  I bet UFC brass isn’t happy that it didn’t end more convincingly.  But, a win is a win. 

Jason MacDonald (-130)   vs     Winner: Nate Quarry (-110)^$

Quarry wins by knockout in the first round.  Nate “Rock” Quarry truly does have hands of rock.  MacDonald is a really good fighter, but Quarry’s striking is just superior. 

David Loiseau (-125)   vs     Winner: Ed Herman (-115)^

Herman won by decision in the third.  Didn’t get to see this one either, because I was too busy watching two men look at each other for over 25 minutes in the octagon.  But, I guess it was worth it because every now and then they would actually engage each other in combat, or was it just a friendly hand tap?  Either way didn’t get to see any of the undercards.

 

Winner: Mark Bocek (-300)*    vs     David Bielkheden (+200)

Bocek won in the first round by submission.

 

Ryo Chonan (-220)     vs     Winner: TJ Grant (+170)*

Grant won in the third by decision.   

Winner: Sam Stout (-130)    vs     Matt Wiman (-110)^$

This one really got to me.  Stout won in the third by decision.  But, in my opinion and by the comments made by the commentators Wiman should have gotten the decision.  Wiman gave a gutty performance, and arguably outworked Stout, but Stouts shots had more power.

 

(originally posted on 4/19/09)