Archive for Brock Lesnar

UFC 100 (07/11/09) Results

Posted in Results with tags , , , , , , , , , , on July 14, 2009 by Maxwell Destree

My pick Results for UFC 100: 7/11 (64%)

My Money Picks for UFC 100: 0/1

Favorites Record (by internet odds): 7/1 (there were 3 fights I didnt catch the odds to)

 

My Picks Totals (since UFC 97): 31/45 (69%)

My Money Picks Total (since UFC 97): 9/13 (69%)

Favorites Record Since UFC 97: 29/43 (67%)

 

Brock Lesnar beat Frank Mir for the UFC Undisputed Heavyweight Title

Brock Lesnar beat Frank Mir for the UFC Undisputed Heavyweight Title

Lesnar wins by technical knockout at 01:58 in Round 2

Lesnar: BU-240 (71%), SB-215 (68%)    (07/06/09)

                 PO+130 (43%)

Mir: BU+190 (34%), SB+175 (36%)     (07/06/09)

          PO-150 (60%)

  Ok, I admit I over-estimated Mir.  I don’t think I really underestimated Lesnar though.  I knew that Lesnar has the ability to smash pretty much anyone.  But, I did think Mir was going to be able to neutralize Lesnars size and brute force with technique and MMA know-how.  I was wrong.

When Lesnar was laying on top of Mir in the first round with Mir in a half head lock smashing Mir’s face I thought, this isn’t good.  When the round ended and half of Mirs face was already smashed up, and Mir could do absolutely nothing with the huge mass of meat that is Lesnar, I knew then that Lesnar was going to finish the fight in the second round.

Lesnar proved that he is the undisputed Heavyweight champ, and that anyone that gets trapped under his insanely huge body mass is as good as dead.  I would really like to see Lesnar against the winner of Carwin or Velasques, but I can say one thing it will be a while before I go against Lesnar.

 

Georges St.Pierre beats Thiago Alves by Unanimous Decision

Georges St.Pierre beats Thiago Alves by Unanimous Decision

St.Pierre wins by unanimous decision after 5 Rounds. 

Judges scores: 45-50, 44-50, 45-50

St.Pierre: BU-300 (75%), SB-285 (74%)     (07/06/09)

                     PO-300 (75%)

Alves: BU+220 (31%), SB+225 (31%)     (07/06/09)

              PO+220 (31%)

St.Pierre is in the process of building his legacy as possible the best Welterweight champ ever.  St.Pierre has two wins over Matt Hughes who probably still in some eyes is the best Welterweight champ ever.  But, it’s now impossible to ignore the level of competition that St.Pierre has beaten, and the relative ease that he has done it with.

Alves seemed to be a very game opponent.  He’s big, made weight, and seemed to be well conditioned even in the later rounds against St.Pierre.  And yet, St.Pierre pretty much walked right through Alves.  The fight was extremely one-sided.  Pierre is simply at a level never seen before in the Welterweight division, and probably all of MMA.

I get excited at the possibility of a St.Pierre/Silva fight.  But, a lot needs to happen before that would become a reality.  Silva undoubtedly needs to beat Forrest Griffin (Silvas next opponent).  Also, St.Pierre needs to recover from a groin injury suffered during the Alves fight.  But, if the UFC can get the match made and done right, then it would probably be the best matchup in the history of MMA.  At least in the regards that the two pound for pound best fighters in MMA history would be fighting one another, for the title of best MMA fighter ever!  How cool would that be?

Lastly, I have to mention I got this one right, St.Pierre did win by unanimous decision just like I thought he would.

 

John Fitch     vs     Paulo Thiago

Fitch wins by unanimous decision after 3 Rounds

Fitch: BU-450 (82%), SB-365 (78%)     (07/06/09)

             PO-350 (78%)

Thiago: BU+325 (24%), SB+285 (26%)          (07/06/09)

                 PO+310 (24%)

 Well, Fitch took this one by purely out grappling Thiago.  Ultimately it was really impressive to see how good Fitch’s jiu-jitsu is.  Fitch handled Thiago (a specialist on the mat) with composure and confidence.  Although Fitch did not submit Thiago it was still a quality performance.  Fitch wouldn’t knock Thiago out as I though he might, but he did win as I figured he would.

 

Dan “Hendo” Henderson     vs     Michael “The Count” Bisping

Henderson wins by knockout at 03:20 in Round 2

Henderson: BU-225 (69%), SB-225 (69%)      (07/06/09)   

                        PO+165 (38%)

Bisping: BU+175 (36%), SB+185 (35%)     (07/06/09)

                 PO-185 (65%)

  I have to admit despite picking Bisping to win, I’m not really dissappointed with Henderson knocking Bisping out.  I don’t really care for Bispings personality. 

 I think that if Bisping was able to avoid the big shot he would have won the fight based on points.  I also think that my odds may still have been pretty reasonable.  How many times does Henderson catch Bisping if they fought a lot.  I think Bisping would avoid the big shot more often than getting hit with it.  It just so happens that this time he got caught with it, and I mean he took the full fist straight on the chin.

Henderson did show me one thing though, he still has plenty of power in those hands. 

 

Yoshihiro Akiyama     vs     Alan “The Talent” Belcher

Akiyama wins by split decision after 3 Rounds

Akiyama: BU-300 (75%), SB-340 (77%)     (07/06/09)

                      PO-150 (60%)

Belcher: BU+220 (31%), SB+260 (28%)     (07/06/09)

                  PO+150 (40%)

 This was a very entertaining fight, and it would actually be awarded fight of the night honors.  The fight was a back and forth battle, with Akiyama taking the split decision.  The fight statistics show however that Akiyama did out strike, and out wrestle Belcher. 

I think that Belcher definately won some fans with his performance, and despite the loss I don’t forsee the UFC cutting him.  Belcher showed that he is still improving as a fighter. 

I thought there was a possibility that  Akiyama would submit Belcher, but really I thought Akiyama would get the decision.  I also had mentioned that it could be a split decision, but I figured on a unanimous one.  I wasn’t too far off.

 

Mark “The Hammer” Coleman   vs   Stephan ” American Psycho” Bonnar

Coleman wins by unanimous decision after 3 Rounds

Coleman: BU+250 (29%), SB+250 (29%)     (07/06/09)

                     PO+560 (18%)

Bonnar: BU-350 (78%), SB-325 (76%)     (07/06/09)

                  PO-550 (85%)

 The old man did it.  Coleman definately proved me wrong.  I thought he would never win another fight in the UFC again.  I truly thought that the talent level of the UFC had passed the aging Coleman by.  I would like to think that Bonnar was out of shape, or took Coleman too lightly.  But, Bonnar didn’t appear to be out of shape at the weigh-ins, and I don’t think Bonnar is the type of guy to take anyone too lightly.

All and all it was a good win for Coleman, and once again I’m not too disappointed with getting this one wrong.  It was kind of a nice surprise to see he could still hang with the young guys.  Congrats Coleman.

 

Jon “Bones” Jones     vs     Jake “Irish” O’Brien

Jones wins by submission (guillotine) at 02:43 in Round 2

Jones: BU-450 (82%), SB-500 (83%)     (07/06/09)

              PO-410 (80%)

O’Brien: BU+325 (24%), SB+300 (25%)     (07/06/09)

                PO+325 (24%)

 Jones did what everyone thought he was going to do, win.  Jones just keeps moving up the board, its exciting to think of where this kids potential will end.  This win doesn’t surprise anyone I don’t think, but it does give Jones more experience and more confidence.  I can’t help but feel that the UFC is grooming this kid.  I would really like to see him fight on regular tv for free, get this kid some exposure.  Jones didn’t deliver the first round knockout like I predicted though.

 

Dong “Stun Gun” Hyun Kim     vs     TJ Grant

Kim wins by unanimous decision after 3 Rounds

Hyun Kim: BU, SB

                       PO-300 (75%)

Grant: BU, SB

              PO+220 (31%)

  Well, I thought Kim would be able to finish Grant off in the first round.  Instead Kim would leave with a decision victory.

 

Mac Danzig     vs     Jim Miller

Miller wins by unanimous decision after 3 Rounds

Danzig: BU+160 (38%), SB+160 (38%)     (07/06/09)

               PO+160 (38%)

Miller: BU-200 (67%), SB-200 (67%)     (07/06/09)

               PO-200 (67%)

 I did not see this fight, but I heard it was pretty good.  Danzig got bloodied up, but kept fighting hard.  I read that it was a pretty good grappling match.  I think that Miller was too strong and athletic for Danzig.  Danzig is not a bad fighter, in fact he is a very technical fighter.  I think Danzig just lacks the quickness and talent to be really successful at this level.

I hit the nail on the head with this prediction.  I predicted Miller would win by unanimous decision, and that there would be some impressive grappling.  I was right on both counts.

 

CB “The Doberman” Dollaway     vs     Tom “Filthy” Lawlor

Lawlor wins by submission (guillotine) at 0:55 in Round 1

Dolloway: BU, SB

                     PO-120 (55%)

Lawlor: BU, SB

                PO+110 (48%)

 I guess by the way it sounds, Dolloway went in for a takedown and Lawlor locked in a guillotine right away.  That was pretty much the whole fight. 

I knew that Lawlor had a good chance of winning as evidenced by my winning percentage I gave him.  Lawlor is a very good fighter, probably better than people give him credit for.  Dolloway is also a very good fighter, but he also seems to be one of those guys that will never reach his full potential.  He just can’t seem to put it all together.

I would like to see Lawlor fight again, perhaps in a main event, or co-main event on a fight night.  I think Lawlor is still getting better as a fighter, and I think he could be right around the top of the division some day.

 

Matt “The Real One” Grice     vs     Sannon Gugerty

Gugerty wins by submission (guillotine) at 02:36 in Round 1

Grice: BU, SB

              PO+160 (38%)

Gugerty: BU, SB

                 PO-180 (64%)

I predicted a second round submission win for Gugerty, but he decided to just finish it in the first round.  Assuming Grice doesn’t have any more fights on his contract, I don’t anticipate seeing any more of Grice in the UFC.  Gugerty was able to get a much needed victory, and we will see him again.

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UFC 100 (7/11/09) (Predictions)

Posted in Predictions with tags , , , , , , , , , , , on July 6, 2009 by Maxwell Destree

Note: The odds listed are from www.betus.com (BU) and www.sportsbook.com (SB), and my own personal opinion of what they should be (PO)(I am just trying this out, don’t be surprised if they’re way off to start with).  Also, I will break down the line into percentages for everyone.  The percentage tells how often they would win the fight.  P.S. I know the percentages don’t always add to 100, that’s because that’s the sportsbooks take, it’s just the way they do it.

My picks will be highlighted in bold.

 

Brock Lesnar                                   Frank Mir^

Brock Lesnar 2    vs    Frank Mir 2

Lesnar: BU-240 (71%), SB-215 (68%)    (07/06/09)

                 PO+130 (43%)

Mir: BU+190 (34%), SB+175 (36%)     (07/06/09)

          PO-150 (60%)

 Ok Ladies and Gentleman the rematch everyone has been waiting for and everyone is speculating about.  There really is no way to predict this one with any level of certainty.  Lesnar is a FREAK and when in the ring reminds me of a Bull on Speed in a China shop.  However, Mir does have a win over him, although some consider it controversial.  For the physical tools that Lesnar has, Mir has the same tools for pure MMA know-how.

My pick is for Mir, I have already bet a friend that Mir is going to win, although I shouldn’t have because I could have gotten better odds from Las Vegas.  Mir was a big underdog, but the odds have been slowly creeping down and are becoming more reasonable.  I think that a bet on Mir isn’t that foolish, I think that at this point in his career he is primed for a big upset victory to re-cement his place in UFC history.

Mir has the full arsenal of MMA tools at his disposal, and that’s why I have to pick him.  Lesnar is still learning the sport, and at this level pure Freakish ability still will only get one so far.  Mir can submit Lesnar on the ground, and Mir has better more technical standup.

I will admit that Lesnar still obviously has a very real chance and ability to just bull-rush and pummel Mir into submission or unconsciousness.

Ultimately the fight will end with Mir knocking Lesnar out, yup, you read it right, no need to re-read it, Mir by Knockout.

 

Georges “Rush” St.Pierre^            Thiago “PitBull” Alves

Georges St.Pierre 2    vs     Thiago Alves 3

St.Pierre: BU-300 (75%), SB-285 (74%)     (07/06/09)

                     PO-300 (75%)

Alves: BU+220 (31%), SB+225 (31%)     (07/06/09)

              PO+220 (31%)

 St.Pierre is possibly the best MMA fighter in the world.  Alves is no joke either, but he still seems a little too raw for someone on St.Pierres level.  Alves will definitely be a contender and possibly a future champ later in life, but its just too early for him.

St.Pierre is a fighter in the prime of his life.  St.Pierre in my opinion is the most pure athlete in all of MMA and he has too much ability for anyone at this point including Alves.  I expect that Alves will give us a good fight, and may even get St.Pierre in trouble, but I expect St.Pierres experience in the Octagon will pull him through.

I think this fight will probably go all five rounds, and I expect St.Pierre to win via Unanimous Decision.  Alves won’t be able to take St.Pierre down, yet St.Pierre will probably take Alves down to score points.  I think that St.Pierre will also be able to control the standup as well.  Finally though, how can anyone bet against St.Pierre at this stage in his career?

 

John Fitch*     vs     Paulo Thiago

Fitch: BU-450 (82%), SB-365 (78%)     (07/06/09)

             PO-350 (78%)

Thiago: BU+325 (24%), SB+285 (26%)          (07/06/09)

                 PO+310 (24%)

Thiago is going to be a good fight for Fitch who has been on a role in the UFC (except for the loss to GSP).  Thiago has won his last two fights by TKO (the only two TKOs of his eleven wins).  Thiagos specialty seems to be on the mat with the submission game.  Fitch is no stranger to the mat though, he is an ex-wrestler for Purdue University, although it will be interesting to see if Thiago can get Fitch on his back.  Thiago definitely has a chance to submit Fitch, but probably won’t knock him out.  Fitch has only been knocked out once in his twenty plus fights. 

Fitch will win by decision, possibly by knockout in the second round too.  I don’t think it would be an early or late knockout though.  Fitch is just too seasoned for Thiago.

 

Dan “Hendo” Henderson     vs     Michael “The Count” Bisping^$

Henderson: BU-225 (69%), SB-225 (69%)      (07/06/09)   

                        PO+165 (38%)

Bisping: BU+175 (36%), SB+185 (35%)     (07/06/09)

                 PO-185 (65%)

 Michael Bisping is complaining about the lack of respect that hes gotten from both fans and the media lately, and quite frankly I would have to agree with him.  Henderson was a great fighter, notice that I said was.  Henderson is still a very good fighter, but I think Father Time has caught up with him and he is no longer considered great, at least not in my book.

Bisping on the other hand is at a point where he is more athletic and quicker than Henderson.  Could the best ever Michael Bisping beat the best ever Dan Henderson?  Probably not, in fact most likely not, but can the Michael Bisping of today beat the Dan Henderson of today?  I think probably. 

I saw Hendersons last fight against Rich Franklin, and I was not impressed.  Both fighters looked slow and tentative.  Also, as I said earlier, Henderson is getting old.  I know that Randy Couture is old, but he is also fighting in a division where speed isn’t as much of a factor.  For a Middleweight its a combination of speed and power.  Henderson seems to have lost his speed, but still retains his power, supposedly even though we haven’t seen it in a while.

Bisping on the other hand looks very fast at Middleweight, but could admittedly probably use some more power.  I think that Bisping will be able to stuff most of Hendersons shots and keep the fight standing where he has an advantage.

I think Bisping wins this either by a late third round knockout, or decision.  I know Henderson has never been knocked out, but after taking two and a half rounds of punches he might give way.  Also, I think Henderson some times suffers from what many wrestlers appear to suffer from, and that’s trying to strike with a striker when they should be taking the striker down.

Bisping to win and take on Anderson Silva in England for the Middleweight belt where he will get his arse kicked.

 

Yoshihiro Akiyama*     vs     Alan “The Talent” Belcher

Akiyama: BU-300 (75%), SB-340 (77%)     (07/06/09)

                      PO-150 (60%)

Belcher: BU+220 (31%), SB+260 (28%)     (07/06/09)

                  PO+150 (40%)

This is Akiyamas first fight in the UFC, and he will be facing an opponent who has had eight fights in the UFC.  Akiyama has come to the UFC from Japan with much fanfare and is obviously the favorite for this fight.  I am personally not familiar with any of Akiyamas previous opponents but he has had quite a run of ending his fights in the first round.

Belcher is 5-3 in the Octagon with wins over Jorge Santiago, Kalib Starnes and Ed Herman.  His three losses are to Jason Day, Kendall Grove and Yushin Okami, with the exception of Day, not a bad couple of guys to lose to.  Belcher is still a very real threat to Akiyama although I just don’t think Belcher will have the mat skills to ward of Akiyama for too long.

I see Akiyama winning by either a late submission or by decision, possibly split, but most likely unanimous.

 

Mark “The Hammer” Coleman   vs   Stephan ” American Psycho” Bonnar^

Coleman: BU+250 (29%), SB+250 (29%)     (07/06/09)

                     PO+560 (18%)

Bonnar: BU-350 (78%), SB-325 (76%)     (07/06/09)

                  PO-550 (85%)

 I will keep this one quick, Coleman is too old.

Bonnar by knockout in the second round.

 

Jon “Bones” Jones*     vs     Jake “Irish” O’Brien

Jones: BU-450 (82%), SB-500 (83%)     (07/06/09)

              PO-410 (80%)

O’Brien: BU+325 (24%), SB+300 (25%)     (07/06/09)

                PO+325 (24%)

 Jones is a very athletic fighter, and very unorthodox.  Jones has had two fights in the UFC both wins by unanimous decisions.  The UFC is expecting big things from Jones who is only 21 years old and full of potential.  Jones is the clear favorite to win this fight.

O’Brien is no stranger to the Octagon in his own right.  He has had mixed results, but has faced decent competition.  Unfortunately for O’Brien I think the athleticism of Jones will be too much. 

I am going out on a limb here but I really think Jones is going to get an early victory, by knockout.

 

Dong “Stun Gun” Hyun Kim*     vs     TJ Grant

Hyun Kim: BU, SB

                       PO-300 (75%)

Grant: BU, SB

              PO+220 (31%)

 Dong Hyun Kim has had more fights in the UFC against better competition, and he has done pretty good.  I know that Kim is the favorite for this fight.  Grant has had one fight in the UFC and that was a controversial split decision win over Ryo Chonan.  Personally I never thought too much of Chonan, so I don’t give Grants victory over him much credit. 

Kim by submission in the first round.

 

Mac Danzig     vs     Jim Miller*

Danzig: BU+160 (38%), SB+160 (38%)     (07/06/09)

               PO+160 (38%)

Miller: BU-200 (67%), SB-200 (67%)     (07/06/09)

               PO-200 (67%)

 Well, one thing is for sure and that’s that Danzig is in desperate need of a win.  Danzig has had five fights in the UFC with a record of 2-3.  The one thing that Danzig has going for him is that he has fought some pretty good fighters.  He has losses to Josh Neer, Clay Guida, and Kurt Pellegrino and holds wins over Mark Bocek and Tommy Speer. 

Miller has yet to fight that level of competition.  Miller is 2-1 in the Octagon with wins over David Baron and Matt Wiman.  Miller lost his last fight which was against a very tough Gray Maynard.  Miller managed to go 3 grueling rounds with Maynard but lost by unanimous decision. 

Although Danzig has more experience, I don’t think he has the mentality or physical ability to improve much in the UFC.  Miller is still somewhat unproven although a win over Matt Wiman is a good start to proving ones self.  I just feel like Danzig is on his way out of the UFC while Miller is still developing as a fighter and a potential threat in the Lightweight division.

Miller by Unanimous Decision after three rounds of some very impressive grappling.

 

CB “The Doberman” Dollaway^     vs     Tom “Filthy” Lawlor

Dolloway: BU, SB

                     PO-120 (55%)

Lawlor: BU, SB

                PO+110 (48%)

 Both fighters are veterans from the Ultimate Fighter Tv Show, so I have seen both fighters fight.  Lawlor is good, probably better than most people give him credit for, but Dollaway although arrogant is the better fighter.  Dolloway despite losing in the finale of the show has gotten better over time, and truly seems to have what it takes to be a top tier MMA fighter. 

I don’t know exactly how the fight will go down, but I expect some good ground and pound from Dolloway and probably a unanimous or maybe split decision win for the Doberman.

 

Matt “The Real One” Grice     vs     Sannon Gugerty*

Grice: BU, SB

              PO+160 (38%)

Gugerty: BU, SB

                 PO-180 (64%)

Grice has had a rough go of it in the UFC, he has a 1-2 record.  His win comes by split-decision against Jason Black while his two losses are to Matt Veach and Terry Etim.  Etim is definitely a good fighter in the UFC and no slouch to have a loss to.  However, one would have to believe that with a Lightweight division as competitive as it is that Grice can’t afford any more losses.  Unfortunately his opponent is probably in the same boat. 

Gugerty has had two fights in the UFC with one win and one loss.  He beat Dale Hartt, but lost a tough fight with Spencer Fisher that went deep into the third round.  Being able to go deep into the third round with Spencer Fisher gets more respect in my book than two first round losses and a split decision win.

I think Gugerty takes this one in the second round by submission.

My Top Five: Heavyweight Fighters in the UFC

Posted in Top Five Fighters in Each UFC Weight Class with tags , , , , , , , , , on May 1, 2009 by Maxwell Destree

1. Brock Lesnar     brock-lesnar

Brock Lesnar may the personality of a jackass, but the man is a BEAST.  After watching Lesnar put a whuppin on Frank Mir in their rematch its hard not to wonder who can beat this behemoth.  Lesnar clearly can make up for skill with brute strength and athleticism.  But whats really scary is that he is still developing as a real MMA fighter.  Pretty soon Lesnar will be considered a legit MMA champ. But in reality it just comes down to wins and losses, and who you beat.  Lesnar has already beaten two ex-UFC champs and its hard to argue against that.

 

2. Randy “The Natural” Couture     randy-couture

Well, what can you say about Couture, the guy is a great fighter.  The only problem is that he is old.  He has a well rounded fighting style, and even at the age of 46 deserves respect.  Nogueira has been in some wars lately, and Couture might have enough in the gas tank to take him out.  Carwin, that’s another story.  Couture could surprise everyone and beat Carwin, but maybe not it’s hard to say.  Couture has earned this spot, with his experience and ability to game plan for victory.  But, don’t be surprised if he isn’t here after his next fight.

3. Frank Mir  Frank Mir 2  

Well, Frank drops to number three after his loss to Lesnar.  Mir is still a very good fighter and will probably get the loser of the Carwin/Velasquez fight.  Despite the one sided victory Lesnar achieved I still believ that Mir could come back even better than ever.  The tough thing for guys like Mir, Couture and nogueira is that the Heavyweight division is filling up with really big Heavyweights.  Perhaps Mir should be trying to bulk up instead of trim up.  Either way Mir can still fight.

4. Antonio “Minotauro” Nogueira     antonio-nogueira

Nogueira is a man on his way down the board I think.  He was not too long ago Heavyweight Champion, but in his loss to Mir he looked old.  He moves around like he’s old, I think his body is finally showing the effects of his life (all the brutal fights he’s been a part of, not to mention getting run over by a truck as a kid and going through multiple surgeries as a result).  We will see where Nogueira belongs in the Heavyweight division, I feel that Carwin could take him out, and that Cheick Kongo might be able to as well.  But, he just lost to Mir whom I have ranked as number 1, he has many impressive fights prior to the UFC, and a win against Tim Sylvia.  Nogueira gets this spot because of his fight history, and because he hasn’t lost to anybody else of note yet.  However, I suspect he will shortly, look for this division to shake up quite a bit in the next year.

5. Shane Carwin     shane-carwin

Carwin, I have one question for you, “Have you reached your potential yet?”  If the answer is no then you may enjoy being a top contender if not even Champion in the relative near future.  If however, you have been on a hot streak, and your potential is maxed out, I would expect that you may never get a title shot.  I feel that Carwin has yet to reach his potential yet.  Carwin has the ability to shoot up to number three for sure, if not number two within the year.  As I stated above, I think that Couture and Nogueira are on their way out, which leaves a very wide door for some of the younger more athletic fighters, of whom Carwin leads the pack.  Carwin is a beast of a man and I expect he will be a major player in this division for the next couple of years.

(6.  Cain Velasquez)Cain Velasquez

Cain had a very nice victory over Cheick Kongo at UFC 99.  Kongo was unable to prevent Cain from taking him to the mat and inflicting some brutal ground and pound.  Not only that, but Cains chin was also tested.  Kongo landed some very clean flush shots on Cains chin, and Cain was able to stay composed and win the fight by decision.  With that win Cain knocks Kongo out of this number 6  spot and moves one step closer to cracking the top five.